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A pesar del creciente descontento con la seguridad y la situación política del país, la más reciente encuesta de Invamer revela que ha disminuido el porcentaje de colombianos que han pensado en irse del país. Según los datos recopilados en febrero de 2025, el 43 % de los encuestados afirmó que ha considerado emigrar, una cifra inferior al 52 % registrado en diciembre de 2024. Por el contrario, el 57 % manifestó que no ha pensado en abandonar Colombia.
Esta tendencia contrasta con el aumento sostenido de la percepción negativa sobre la inseguridad y el accionar de grupos guerrilleros. De acuerdo con la misma encuesta, el 85 % de los colombianos considera que la situación de seguridad ha empeorado, mientras que el 80 % opina lo mismo sobre la presencia de grupos armados ilegales.
Aunque la disminución en la intención de emigrar podría interpretarse como un indicio de mayor confianza en el futuro del país, también podría estar relacionada con otros factores como las dificultades económicas para migrar, la reducción de oportunidades en el extranjero o el endurecimiento de políticas migratorias en países de destino como Estados Unidos y España.
El estudio también refleja una creciente desaprobación hacia la gestión del presidente Gustavo Petro, con un 63 % de los encuestados en desacuerdo con su administración. En ciudades como Medellín y Bucaramanga, la desaprobación supera el 75 %, mientras que en la capital del país alcanza el 63 %.
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Ficha técnica de encuesta Invamer
La encuesta fue realizada por Invamer S.A.S. a 1.600 personas en siete ciudades principales: Bogotá, Medellín, Cali, Barranquilla, Bucaramanga, Cartagena y Montería. Con un margen de error del 2,5 %, los resultados reflejan la percepción de los colombianos sobre la situación actual del país y sus posibles proyecciones a futuro.
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